Inside Elections

2026 House Ratings (October 31, 2025)

October 31, 2025 · 4:10 PM EDT

Podcast Episode 58: New California Map Shakes Up Redistricting War w/ Mel Mason of Politico

October 30, 2025 · 10:26 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico analyze the fate of Proposition 50 in California as Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democrats try to counter President Donald Trump and Republicans’ efforts to redistrict in GOP states nationwide. The crew also walks through more than half a…

A Detailed Analysis of North Carolina’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich October 24, 2025 · 9:35 AM EDT

If there’s one state that’s accustomed to mid-decade redistricting, it’s North Carolina. The Tar Heel State drew itself new congressional districts for the 2016, 2020, 2022, and 2024 elections — and so it’s not too surprising that it’s jumping on the bandwagon of the 2026 cycle’s gerrymandering…

2026 Senate Overview: Republicans Holding On

October 23, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

While mid-decade redistricting has thrown the fight for the House into a state of uncertainty, the battle for the Senate majority has been remarkably stable. And nearly halfway through the cycle, Republicans are still favored to maintain control.

There’s…

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama - Kansas

October 23, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Open; Tommy Tuberville (R) running for governor. Filing deadline Jan. 23. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16. This has been a crowded but quiet race for an open seat. State Attorney General Steve Marshall has been elected statewide, Rep. Barry Moore could get help from outside…

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky - New Mexico

October 23, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 9. Primary May 19. Former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron remains the polling frontrunner in a GOP primary that also includes Rep. Andy Barr and Lexington businessman Nate Morris, thanks to his high name ID…

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina - Wyoming

October 23, 2025 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Open; Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12. The general election matchup is effectively set more than a year ahead of the midterms: Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper will face off against former RNC chairman…

Report Shorts (Oct. 23, 2025)

October 23, 2025 · 2:26 PM EDT

California’s 3rd District. Former state Sen. Richard Pan is running as a Democrat against Rep. Kevin Kiley, in a district that could get much better for Democrats if voters approve a new congressional map this fall. The pediatrician and vaccine advocate could also switch to running in the 6th…

2026 House Ratings (October 23, 2025)

October 23, 2025 · 2:24 PM EDT

New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Bid Boosts Republican Chances

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 22, 2025 · 1:02 PM EDT

Former Sen. John E. Sununu announced a comeback bid in New Hampshire on Wednesday, boosting Republican chances of winning the seat near the core of the fight for Senate control in 2026.

Republicans remain favored to maintain their majority at this stage of the cycle because Democrats need a net…