House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026 · 2:22 PM EST

California’s 1st District. The special election to replace the late-GOP Rep. Doug LaMalfa will be August 4, the latest possible date that could be set by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom in accordance with state law. It’s technically possible that a new member could get elected in the June 2 primary,…

Podcast Episode 63: 2026 Predictions with Jonathan Martin of Politico

January 15, 2026 · 2:22 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Jonathan Martin of Politico make their bold predictions for 2026, covering the fight for the House, Senate, governors and the beginning of the 2028 presidential race. Jacob and Nathan also cover the can’t miss headlines and latest news in races in Alaska, Florida, Wyoming and…

Georgia 14 Special: Greene New Deal

by Jacob Rubashkin January 8, 2026 · 2:30 PM EST

Marjorie Taylor Greene’s surprise resignation announcement sent shockwaves through Congress, as the onetime staunch ally of President Donald Trump transformed seemingly overnight into one of his chief antagonists.

But the North Georgia congresswoman’s abrupt decision also caught her own district by surprise, triggering a free-for-all special election in early March.…

Wyoming Senate: Cowboy State Roundup

by Jacob Rubashkin January 8, 2026 · 2:29 PM EST

Wyoming Sen. Cynthia Lummis’ retirement announcement took Capitol Hill by surprise, and she set off a domino effect in the least populous and most Republican state in the union. 

But the fight for her seat looks to be a few broncos short of a rodeo.

Rep. Harriet Hageman, the state’s…

Republicans Try to Maintain House Majority Before November

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2026 · 2:28 PM EST

The unexpected death of California Republican Doug LaMalfa is a sad reminder of the fragility of the GOP’s House majority on Capitol Hill.

In 2024, House Republicans won a 220-215 majority. But that’s with all of the seats filled, and that margin has fluctuated over the past 12 months with…

Podcast Episode 62: Holiday Mailbag with Nathan & Jacob

December 22, 2025 · 1:35 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin tackle tough end-of-the-year questions with a holiday mailbag episode. From the state of the midterm elections, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s electoral future, and each party’s recruitment holes in the fight for the House to the Roman Empire, Star Trek and the Seattle Seahawks, Jacob and Nathan cover…

New Jersey 11 Special: A Morris & Essex Mess

by Jacob Rubashkin December 18, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

Democrat Mikie Sherrill’s victory in the New Jersey gubernatorial election last month triggered a special election for her 11th District, a wealthy, left-trending seat in North Jersey.

Once held by moderate Republicans Rodney Frelinghuysen and Dean Gallo, the 11th is now Democratic territory. With a dozen candidates vying for the…

Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025 · 2:28 PM EST

Maine’s 2nd District. Democratic State Sen. Joe Baldacci is moving toward a run for Congress. He commissioned a poll showing him trailing former Gov. Paul LePage, the likely GOP nominee, by just 1 point, and posted on Instagram days later that “This will be a fun campaign.” Baldacci is the…

Podcast Episode 61: “I Know Nothing About Anything But Politics” with Larry Sabato

December 11, 2025 · 3:33 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin cover the latest House and Senate election news and discuss the art of political analysis with the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato, one of the most prominent analysts in the country. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Beginning to Look Like a Traditional Midterm

December 5, 2025 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

The special election result in Tennessee’s 7th District is just the latest piece of evidence that, in spite of President Donald Trump’s reputation as a political immortal, 2026 is beginning to look a lot like a traditional midterm. 

There’s a perception that normal…