President News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 63: 2026 Predictions with Jonathan Martin of Politico

January 15, 2026 · 2:22 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Jonathan Martin of Politico make their bold predictions for 2026, covering the fight for the House, Senate, governors and the beginning of the 2028 presidential race. Jacob and Nathan also cover the can’t miss headlines and latest news in races in Alaska, Florida, Wyoming and…

Podcast Episode 62: Holiday Mailbag with Nathan & Jacob

December 22, 2025 · 1:35 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin tackle tough end-of-the-year questions with a holiday mailbag episode. From the state of the midterm elections, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s electoral future, and each party’s recruitment holes in the fight for the House to the Roman Empire, Star Trek and the Seattle Seahawks, Jacob and Nathan cover…

Podcast Episode 61: “I Know Nothing About Anything But Politics” with Larry Sabato

December 11, 2025 · 3:33 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin cover the latest House and Senate election news and discuss the art of political analysis with the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato, one of the most prominent analysts in the country. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

Vote Above Replacement: Trump vs. Harris

by Bradley Wascher January 24, 2025 · 2:28 PM EST

A common refrain in the wake of the 2024 presidential election is that although Donald Trump swept all seven core battleground states, his victory was not a landslide. Those making this argument can point to many numbers, including Trump’s 1.5-point margin in the national popular vote, or the 230,000 votes…

Podcast Episode 38: Trump Cabinet, 2026 Senate, Media Trust w/ Meg Kinnard of the AP

January 17, 2025 · 9:44 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Meg Kinnard of the Associated Press talk about the political dynamics and implications for President Donald Trump’s cabinet choices, analyze the initial 2026 Senate battleground including the five most important races and handicap how difficult it will be for Democrats to win the majority, and…

Podcast Episode 37: 2024 Election Hits & Misses, Nebraska 2, Online Scams

December 13, 2024 · 1:50 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin talk about what they got right (and wrong) in the 2024 elections, do a deep dive into one of the most competitive House races in the country and how Rep. Don Bacon was able to survive, and look ahead to the 2026 fight for the…

2024 Baselines: How the States Have Shifted

by Bradley Wascher December 5, 2024 · 2:28 PM EST

Compared to other recent elections, 2024 seems strange at the statewide level. Four states split their tickets between president and Senate — more than in 2016 and 2020 combined — plus three others did the same for governor. But we can paint a clearer picture by putting all the results…

Podcast Episode 36: 2024 Election Results & Analysis w/ Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report

November 19, 2024 · 5:05 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter discuss the 2024 election results including the fights for the White House, Senate, and House. In addition, Jacob finally gets around to watching L.A. Confidential, Amy talks about the hottest ticket in Washington, D.C. and…

What Happened and What’s Next after the 2024 Elections?

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

The 2024 elections were going to humble one party, and voters called Democrats to the carpet. It will take days to get final results and probably weeks before there’s a full understanding of what happened, but there are more than a few points that can be made in the wake…

Outlier or Early Warning? Late Iowa Poll Confounds

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

It’s never wise to jump to conclusions based on any single poll. But it would be foolish to ignore results from a quality pollster. 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points…