Redistricting News & Analysis

A Detailed Analysis of Missouri’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich September 29, 2025 · 9:41 AM EDT

The unprecedented redistricting arms race of 2025 continues apace. After Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map with the goal of flipping from three to five House seats, California Democrats voted to place their own new congressional map before voters this November that would…

Podcast Episode 55: Two Biggest Races of 2025 w/ Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline

September 18, 2025 · 2:45 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…

Podcast Episode 54: Big Texas Senate Primary + Redistricting w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

September 9, 2025 · 11:09 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald…

A Detailed Analysis of Texas’ New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich August 27, 2025 · 10:57 AM EDT

Fearful of losing their majority in the House of Representatives, Republicans have embarked on a multi-state offensive to redraw congressional maps in their favor. This month, they won the first, and arguably biggest, battle of that campaign: The state legislature passed (and Gov. Greg Abbott will soon sign…

Podcast Episode 53: OH-IO Senate Rating Change + Redistricting w/ Kyle Kondik of Crystal Ball

August 21, 2025 · 3:37 PM EDT

Inside Elections' Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin along with Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia dive into the Ohio Senate race where former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is challenging Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to replace Vice President J.D. Vance, in a…

A Detailed Analysis of California’s (Maybe) New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich August 21, 2025 · 1:49 PM EDT

If you thought the midterm elections wouldn’t start until 2026, think again. Control of multiple House seats will now effectively be decided this fall.

The California Legislature is soon expected to advance a new congressional map for the Golden State that is heavily biased in Democrats’ favor. It’s the party’s…

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

by Jacob Rubashkin August 14, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

In a typical decade, every state redraws its congressional map just once, following the decennial Census. While isolated court rulings may result in a handful of new maps after that, the life expectancy of a congressional district is generally 10 years.

That conventional wisdom is being tested like never before…

Podcast Episode 46: What’s up with Redistricting? w/ David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report

May 7, 2025 · 11:52 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter analyze the handful of states where redistricting and new congressional maps could affect the fight for the House majority and take a broader look at how redistricting impacts our elections and the partisan mood of…

Podcast Episode 44: Trump, Tariffs, Economy, Election w/ Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News

April 11, 2025 · 11:47 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News analyze how President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the uncertainty of the economy and stock market affect his relationship with Republicans on Capitol Hill and how it could threaten Republicans’ majority in the House and the Senate in next year’s midterm…

House Redistricting Status Update

by Jacob Rubashkin April 3, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

The 2020 Census is long past, but a half dozen or more states are still sorting out the legality of their congressional maps, leaving more than a hundred districts in litigation limbo ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

While Democrats need a net gain of just three seats to recapture…