Anything can happen in November. At least that’s what we’re supposed to say. But is it really true?
Even in the middle of a global pandemic and after a historic impeachment process, the political environment hasn’t changed dramatically over the last year and a half. The coronavirus has crippled the…
Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.
I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
The spread of coronavirus has thrown even the most mundane tasks into uncertainty, yet the fight for the Senate remains the same. Control of the Senate was on the line before the health crisis and continues to be at stake in November.
Over…
Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). July 14 GOP Runoff (new, rescheduled date). Due to the coronavirus response, Republicans won’t have a nominee until mid-summer. Former Auburn head football coach Tommy Tuberville ($1.1 million in the bank on Feb. 12) finished first in the primary with 33 percent.…
Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). May 19 primary. The same reasons Democrats nationally love to hate the majority leader, make him difficult to defeat for re-election. McConnell’s effort to help President Trump shape the courts for a…
North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). In the face of a multi-million dollar GOP effort to influence the Democratic primary, Iraq War veteran/former state Sen. Cal Cunningham won the nomination 57-35 percent over state Sen. Erica Smith. Republicans reveled in watching outside Democratic groups spend $11.7 million to…
Less than two weeks ago, the Montana Senate race was nearly as big of a national…
Georgia Senate — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: Oct. 16, 2019
Date of Birth: June 21, 1979; St. Louis, Missouri
Education: Washington & Lee Univ. (2001); Harvard (MBA, 2003)
Elected Office: None; 2018 candidate for lieutenant governor.
Current Outlook: Amico is locked in a competitive Democratic primary with 6th District…
Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and…
It’s only been 16 months since Democrats won a Senate race in Montana, and less than six years since Big Sky Country sent two Democratic senators to Capitol Hill. Democrats are looking to recreate the magic again in November, now that they have Gov. Steve Bullock, their top recruit, in…
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